In a new briefing focusing on the potential impact of the net zero transition on the UK workforce, the Climate Change Committee (CCC) report that the majority of UK workers will see no major impacts from the transition.
They say the largest changes will come in sectors with a core role in the delivery of Net Zero – this represents only a fifth of the current total workforce:
The CCC believes net zero offers the potential for significant net employment creation in the UK, with estimates of between 135,000 and 725,000 net new jobs in low-carbon sectors such as buildings retrofit, renewable energy generation and electric vehicles. But the growth of jobs is not guaranteed. It will require active reskilling and upskilling of the workforce in key areas, with the need for government support.
Commenting on the briefing, Lord Deben, chairman of the Climate Change Committee said:
“The UK has committed to Net Zero. The only question is whether the Government intends to get there in a way that benefits workers or leaves them behind.
“This is a unique moment to tailor our approach to skills and jobs, in the certainty of achieving the legal goal. A Net Zero workforce means secure employment for the future. This is an opportunity for the Government to bring real meaning to ‘levelling up’.”
Global factors are at play. The introduction of the United States’ Inflation Reduction Act and the EU’s proposed Green Deal Industrial Plan have increased the risk to competitiveness of the UK in some key areas of the Net Zero transition.
The CCC says the UK risks missing out on opportunities to capture low-carbon market shares by not supporting skills that attract investment to the UK. Manufacturing priorities like electric vehicles and battery production face competitive pressure from new ‘green’ subsidies for inland manufacturing in the United States and European Union. It thinks the UK must defend its competitive advantage in Net Zero sectors like hydrogen and carbon capture in the face of these new international pressures.
The briefing outlines that decarbonisation will reduce demand for certain goods and services, but the few sectors that may see job losses will see a pace of change more gradual than the coal and steel transitions of the past. They hope clarity on Government’s aims will give businesses and workers time to respond.
A big argument they put forward is that net zero can offer employment for economically deprived areas through the ability to direct the necessary programme of investment:
One of the key findings from the briefing is that Government intervention is not necessary in every sector of the economy. Clear policy direction for each sector is important however, combined with a responsive education and skill system but the CCC feels that options for developing the Net Zero workforce are not being considered systematically across Government.